LAS VEGAS - Missouriar -- Week 6 of the college football season was supposed to be quiet — no top-10 matchups, only two games between ranked opponents — yet the weekend delivered pure chaos.

Five ranked teams lost, including Penn State, which fell to previously winless UCLA and saw its playoff odds nosedive from +950 to +5000.

In a new analysis from OddsTrader — College Football Playoff Predictions: Projecting Most Likely Winners After Week 6 — senior sports analyst Garrett Chorpenning breaks down the ripple effects of those upsets and recalibrates which programs still control their destiny.

According to the report, Ohio State (+430) tops the list of true contenders after steamrolling opponents while allowing just 5.0 points per game — best in the nation. Oregon, Alabama, and Miami (FL) round out the top tier, each showing the balance of offense and defense needed for a playoff run.

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Teams like Oklahoma, Indiana, and Missouri hover just below that elite line, while traditional powerhouses Texas, Notre Dame, and Penn State now find themselves in "chaos territory," fighting uphill battles to stay in contention.

"Every season, one weekend turns the playoff picture upside down," said Chorpenning. "This was that weekend — and the odds tell the story better than any poll can."

The full analysis, published exclusively on OddsTrader.com, details how betting data and probability modeling can reveal deeper truths about the sport's most unpredictable contenders.

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